akairos primers

Basics

Instrument Knowledge
Understanding the tools of the trade.

Calendar Events and Monthly OPEXs
The rhythm of the market cycle.

Stalk Snipe Surf
Patience, precision, momentum.

Regime Identification

Part 1, Foundations
Markets, interest rates, the yield curve.

Part 2, The Critical Distinction
Nominal vs real rates, breakevens, TIPS, real yields as gravity, rate of change.

Part 3, The Framework
Four-panel dashboard, the dollar, correlation vs causality, five causal channels.

Part 4, Instruments & Transmission
Three-layer instrument system, five transmission chain walkthroughs.

Part 5, Regimes & History
Five macro regimes, scoring system, seven historical periods.

Supplementary Primers

Global Primer
Regional macro map, global instrument toolkit, options as macro tool, cross-market trades.

New Zealand's Place in the World
New Zealand's structural position in the world. The RBNZ, trade axis, energy vulnerability, NZDUSD, ...

Prove Your Mastery

Applied Framework: April 2026
The entire framework applied to the Iran / Hormuz crisis.